Overvalued Fantasy Football 2021 draft picks
Our Commish Kit readers discussed fantasy football breakout candidates for the 2021 season in a previous article. However, this time around, I will shift gears and look at some players that will be overvalued on your fantasy football draft boards this Fall.
When deep-diving into the stats, these are players that I feel overachieved during the 2020 season or benefited from an injury to a primary weapon in the team’s offense. I’m not saying these players are not fantasy draft candidates entering the 2021 NFL season, but you shouldn’t be the one to reach for them. Instead, let your competition mismanage their fantasy football draft.
Here is a list of some overvalued players as we enter the 2021 NFL fantasy football season:
And remember, 2021 Commish Kit fantasy football draft boards are Coming Soon!
The dual-threat running back finished as the RB20 in .5 PPR leagues, which will most certainly pique the casual fantasy football owner’s interest. However, Hines lacked consistency from week-to-week and scored 10+ fantasy points in just five of 16 games. If you were to take away Hines‘ 23.3 points in Week 1, 19.7 in Week 8, and 26 points in Week 10, Hines averaged just 7.13 ppg, and he would’ve ranked more as an RB5 than an RB2. Plus, it’s obvious that RB Jonathan Taylor will be the bell cow option moving forward and cut into Hines‘ role as a pass-catcher.
Anderson was excellent in his first season with the Panthers. He finished as WR24 in .5 PPR leagues and averaged 11 points per game for his fantasy football owners. While the wideouts numbers were impressive, he became the third option in the passing offense down the stretch, behind DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel, and the return of a healthy Christian McCaffery will cut into Anderson’s production as well. After scoring double-digit fantasy points in six of his first nine games, Anderson surpassed that number just three times over his last seven contests and averaged only 9.3 points during that span. The Panthers are likely to move on from Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. Regardless, I don’t see Anderson repeating the type of season (95 receptions) he had in 2020 and think he will be a heavily overvalued receiver come fantasy football season when you are looking at your draft board.
The former Round 1 selection was one of the NFL’s biggest surprises this season. He went from an underachiever that was no longer wanted in Philadelphia to the Raider’s No.1 wideout last season. Agholor had a knack for making big plays, as he averaged 18.7 yards per catch, previous career high was 12.4 (ypc), and found paydirt eight times. The veteran is a free agent this offseason, and while Jon Gruden speaks highly of Agholor, there is no guarantee the Raiders sign him. In my opinion, Agholor’s WR21 ranking in .5 PPR leagues far exceeded his expectations entering the season. Whether he remains in Las Vegas or joins a new team, his opportunity will be on the decline. Agholor was a real benefactor of the Raider’s wide receivers getting injured, and he got hot at the right time. I am staying away, and you won’t be seeing his sticker on any of my 2021 fantasy football draft boards.